(Brave?) New World
The “strategic pause” we experienced after the fall of the Berlin Wall is consigned to history and there is no going back. The events of the last twelve months are just a prelude to many different sequels
Vladimir Putin probably “only” wanted to expand and strengthen his power. Inadvertently, however, he has set in motion processes which he can clearly no longer control, and which will probably not only eventually sweep him off the Kremlin throne but also strip Russia of the remnants of its imperial status. As a side-effect, the war unleashed by the Moscow camarilla will certainly bring about a profound transformation of the entire global order. Before we can grasp its final shape, it is worth noting what has changed in the international security environment during these twelve dramatic months. It seems that the good old steam engine of history has turned into a superfast TGV.
Two Plus Two
Many experts admittedly knew it beforehand but the community was still taken by surprise. The first, fundamental lesson of the morning of 24 February 2022 is: nations are not always ruled by rational politicians. If Putin were rational, if he had been able to set adequate goals for his intelligence services, read their reports and draw conclusions, this war would never have happened.
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